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    Compartido el 15.3.2012 por Equipo GNOSS

    The future of Internet V: Millennials Will Benefit and Suffer Due to Their Hyperconnected Lives (by Imagining of Internet of the University of Elon y Pew Internet & Live Project)

    Internet se está convirtiendo en un arma de doble filo para las nuevas generaciones, que son además los mayores usuarios de esta herramienta;  es la denominada generación "always on". Esta es la conclusión de la quinta encuesta sobre «El futuro de internet» publicada el pasado 29 de febrero por el Pew Research Center y elaborada por Janna Quitney Anderson (Universidad de Elon) y Lee Rainie (Pew Internet & Live Project) en la que se preguntaba a los participantes sobre el hipotético escenario que contemplan en un mundo interconectado de aquí a 2020 y su impacto en la población más joven. Para este nuevo informe, el Pew Research Center realizó entrevistas en profundidad a más de 1.000 expertos de Internet y otros usuarios.

     

     

    Jonathan Grudin, investigador de Microsoft, fue uno de los entrevistados. Según él, en el año 2020 las habilidades esenciales serán la rápida búsqueda, exploración, evaluación de la calidad y la síntesis de la enorme cantidad de información que existe. Por otro lado, aquellas personas que leen y analizan durante horas, pasarán a un segundo lugar.

    Para más información, leer la siguiente web.

     

    OVERVIEW

    Teens and young adults brought up from childhood with a continuous connection to each other and to information will be nimble, quick-acting multitaskers who count on the Internet as their external brain and who approach problems in a different way from their elders, according to a new survey of technology experts.

    Many of the experts surveyed by Elon University’s Imagining the Internet Center and the Pew Internet Project said the effects of hyperconnectivity and the always-on lifestyles of young people will be mostly positive between now and 2020. But the experts in this survey also predicted this generation will exhibit a thirst for instant gratification and quick fixes, a loss of patience, and a lack of deep-thinking ability due to what one referred to as “fast-twitch wiring.”

     

    ABOUT THE SURVEY

    The survey results are based on a non-random, opt-in, online sample of 1,021 internet experts and other internet users, recruited via email invitation, Twitter or Facebook from the Pew Research Center’s Internet & American Life Project and the Imagining the Internet Center at Elon University.  Since the data are based on a non-random sample, a margin of error cannot be computed, and the results are not projectable to any population other than the experts in this sample.

     

     

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    Compartido el 11.11.2009 por Ricardo Alonso Maturana

    Centenares de líderes de internet, activistas, constructores y comentaristas han sido preguntados en este informe acerca de los efectos e impactos sociales, políticos y económicos que se derivarán del desarrollo de Internet en el año 2020. Este informe de PEW INTERNET & AMERICAN LIFE PROJECT sobre el futuro de internet se ha realizado teniendo en cuenta las respuestas de 742 encuestados. En general, existe acuerdo en considerar el modo en el que la  tecnología podría evolucionar, pero no tanto sobre el tipo de impacto que se derivará de esa evolución. Los escenarios y problemas emergentes sobre los que se les pide opinión a los encuestados podrían agruparse alrededor de las siguientes descripciones: I. Despliegue de una red global; II. Control Humano sobre la tecnología; III. Transparencia versus privacidad; IV. Luditas, resistentes antitecnológicos y violencia; V. Mundos virtuales absorbentes y adictivos; VI. El destino del lenguaje online; VII. Prioridades de inversión.

    Ellos resumen así su proyecto:

    "Hundreds of internet leaders, activists, builders and commentators were asked about the effect of the internet on social, political and economic life in the year 2020. The views of the 742 respondents who completed this survey were varied; there is general agreement about how technology might evolve, but there is less agreement among these respondents about the impact of this evolution.

    Reacting to several scenarios constructed by the Pew Internet & American Life Project, the respondents struck on several themes and emergent problems in their answers:

    The deployment of a global network: A majority of respondents agreed with a scenario which posited that a global, low-cost network will be thriving in 2020 and will be available to most people around the world at low cost. And they agreed that a tech-abetted “flattening” of the world will open up opportunities for success for many people who will compete globally.

    Still, a vocal and sizeable minority of respondents say they are unsure that the policy climate will be favorable for such internet expansion. The center of the resistance, they say, will be in the businesses anxious to preserve their current advantages and in policy circles where control over information and communication is a central value. In addition, a significant number of these dissenters argued that the world will not flatten enough to wipe away persistent social inequities.

    Human control over technology: Most respondents said they think humans will remain in charge of technology between now and 2020. However some fear that technological progress will eventually create machines and processes that move beyond human control. Others said they fear that the leaders who exercise control of the technology might use this power inappropriately.

    Transparency vs. privacy: There is a widespread expectation that people will wittingly or unwittingly disclose more about themselves, gaining some benefits in the process even as they lose some privacy. Respondents split evenly on whether the world will be a better place in 2020 due to the greater transparency of people and institutions afforded by the internet: 46% agreed that the benefits of greater transparency of organizations and individuals would outweigh the privacy costs and 49% disagreed.

    Luddites, technological “refuseniks,” and violence: Most respondents agreed that there will people who will remain unconnected to the network because of their economic circumstances and others who think a class of technology refuseniks will emerge by 2020. They will form their own cultural group that lives apart from “modern” society and some will commit acts of violence in protest to technology.
    But many respondents argue that violence arising from conflicts over religion, economics, and politics, will be more prevalent.

    Compelling or “addictive” virtual worlds: Many respondents agreed with the notion that those who are connected online will devote more time to sophisticated, compelling, networked, synthetic worlds by 2020. While this will foster productivity and connectedness and be an advantage to many, it will lead to addiction problems for some. The word “addiction” struck some respondents as an inappropriate term for
    the problems they foresaw, while others thought it appropriate.

    The fate of language online: Many respondents said they accept the idea that English will be the world’s lingua franca for cross-cultural communications in the next few decades. But notable numbers maintained English will not overwhelm other languages and, indeed, Mandarin and other languages will expand their influence online. Most respondents stressed that linguistic diversity is good and that the internet will allow the preservation of languages and associated cultures. Others noted that all languages evolve over time and argued that the internet will abet that evolution.

    Investment priorities: Asked what their priority would be for future investments of time and money in networking, 78% of the respondents identified two goals for the world's policy makers and the technology industry to pursue: building network capacity and spreading knowledge about technology to help people of all nations".

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